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US Economic Risks (Sept 2010): Impact on Investors & Entrepreneurs

Both Sides of the Table

One year ago I predicted that in 2010/11 the economy, far from being on the path of permanent recovery was on a temporary resurgence and there was a strong possibility of a “double dip” recession. The spending contraction is inevitable in a period of declining real prices of housing, high unemployment and tightening credit.

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Stock Market Drops. Then It Rallies. What Happens Next for Funding?

Both Sides of the Table

My partnership was pretty bearish and scratched our heads a bit at price tags. By 2008 I had gotten more serious about championing companies through our investment process. It was September 2008. The following is a 2-week graph of the end-of-week price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) in Autumn 2008.

Marketing 305
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Angel Investing: Skill 3 – Relationships with VCs

Both Sides of the Table

I know that in late 2010 it’s not as popular to say this because we’re in the era of “super angels&# and feel-good startups. Let’s call these cards 1996-99, 2005-08 and 2010+. If 2011 & 2012 look like 2010 then the current crop of angel investments will look great. So where are we now?

Invest 284
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Angel Investing: Skill 3 – Relationships with VCs

Both Sides of the Table

I know that in late 2010 it’s not as popular to say this because we’re in the era of “super angels&# and feel good startups. If 2011 & 2012 look like 2010 then the current crop of angel investors will look great. This is cheaper for them than waiting for big competitors and buying companies at big prices.

Invest 152
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It’s Morning in Venture Capital

Both Sides of the Table

But in 2012 a visit to any major college in America will show you the massive increase in aspirations of our young talent to become the next Mark Zuckerberg and build a future Facebook. So it is unsurprising that an over-funding environment and the commensurate returns hangover would have lasted until about – well – 2012.

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Good Times Ahead for VC-backed Tech Companies?

Both Sides of the Table

Projected IPOs for 2009 are an embarrassing 10 total deals, down from 86 just 2 years ago (it was 265 in the go-go years of 99-00) but at least up from 6 in 2008. Montgomery expects M&A to rebound to the normal recent levels at 450 deals by 2010. Nearly 50% say they will increase their activity levels in 2010 (hallelujah!)

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Does the Size of a VC Fund Matter?

Both Sides of the Table

Unfortunately over the period of 2000-2010 the VC industry hasn’t performed well and therefore the number of funds going forward is likely to reduce greatly. Also, since most funds are 10-year funds there will be pressure in 2012 for this fund to start exiting its investments and return money to its shareholders.